Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 10, 2026, 8:23 PM

Key insight

$81.33 trapped between Hormuz risk premium and deal-progress selloff risk — direction hinges on US-Iran talks

Hormuz standoff keeps $81 floor intact; deal hopes cap upside below Mar high at $119.47

Main risk

Strait of Hormuz diplomatic break

Deal confirmed reopens strait; WTI risks $8–10 drop back toward $73 Aug swing low

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