Analysis archive
Dow Jones
Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →
Aug 18, 2026, 8:21 PM
53,346 holds Aug range lows — break below 53,000 (round number / Aug swing low) opens path to 52,400 (200-day MA). FOMC minutes Wed + retail earnings (WMT, TGT, HD) are the week's binary catalysts.
Aug 18, 2026, 1:50 PM
53,414 holds as Nasdaq drops 1.3% — Dow's relative strength flags defensive rotation, but 54,000 round-number resistance caps the upside until a macro catalyst emerges.
Aug 18, 2026, 3:29 AM
53,456 flatlines while S&P and Nasdaq slide — Dow's blue-chip defensives absorb rotation selling, but a clean break above 53,500 is needed to confirm fresh upside momentum.
Aug 17, 2026, 8:20 PM
53,452 holds but momentum is absent — gold surging to $4,418 and USD/JPY firm at 159.5 flag risk-off tilt; Dow needs a close above 54,000 to confirm bull extension.
Aug 17, 2026, 1:50 PM
53,532 stalls below the 54,000 round-number ceiling; a daily close above that level opens 54,800 (2026 swing high). Failure re-targets 52,800 (50-day MA). Dow underperforms Nasdaq by 0.7% today, signalling defensive rotation.
Aug 17, 2026, 3:28 AM
53,659 sits in no-man's land between 52,800 50-day MA support and 54,200 all-time high resistance — a decisive break either side sets the next 1,000-point leg.
Aug 14, 2026, 8:19 PM
53,717 flat on the week — break above 54,000 round number needed to confirm next leg; failure opens 52,500 50-day MA.
Aug 14, 2026, 1:20 PM
346 pts below Aug 4 all-time high 54,086 — reclaim that level or fade to 53,000 50-day MA is the binary near-term read.
Aug 14, 2026, 3:31 AM
53,912 holds above 50-day MA; ATH at 54,085 within 0.3% — break triggers fresh record run
Aug 13, 2026, 8:21 PM
53,800 acts as near-term pivot — hold above keeps path to 54,500 ATH zone open; PPI flat beats lift sentiment.
Aug 13, 2026, 1:22 PM
54,000 round-number resistance caps the index; break above confirms ATH extension toward 55,000.
Aug 13, 2026, 12:10 PM
54,085 Aug record cap — break above targets 55,000; close below 53,500 opens 52,800 retest
Aug 13, 2026, 3:29 AM
Stalling at 53,770 ATH zone — 77% Q2 beat rate priced in; need fresh macro catalyst to breach 54,000.
Aug 12, 2026, 8:20 PM
54,085 record high capped two weeks ago — hold above 53,600 (50-day MA) or bear case opens to 52,800.
Aug 12, 2026, 1:49 PM
54,085 Aug record high is the gate — US-Iran Hormuz impasse and CPI print today determine whether bulls retake it.
Aug 12, 2026, 3:30 AM
July CPI (Aug 12, 08:30 ET) is the binary trigger: hot print kills rate-cut bets; cool print targets 54,500+.
Aug 11, 2026, 8:18 PM
53,780 holds as near-term floor; break below 53,400 (50-day MA) reopens 52,800 bear target.
Aug 11, 2026, 1:20 PM
54,085 record high under pressure — weak July payrolls (-23k) fuel Fed cut bets but BTIG sees late-2021 echo top
Aug 11, 2026, 3:30 AM
53,976 Aug high holds as near-term ceiling; break above opens 54,500 round number — Iran headlines are the swing factor
Aug 10, 2026, 8:19 PM
54,085 Aug record high acts as ceiling; hold above 53,500 (50-day MA) to keep bull trend intact
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