DAX 40
BearishArchived analysis from Sep 8, 2026, 8:27 PM
Key insight
26,618 all-time high capping recovery — ECB hike Thursday + Brent $92 compresses rate-sensitive DAX names; break below 50-day MA ~25,750 opens path to 25,200 Fib support.
Pulled 756 pts (-2.8%) from Aug 28 all-time high of 26,618 — ECB 25-bps hike to 2.5% imminent Thursday, oil at $92 stoking inflation fears, AfD Saxony-Anhalt win adds political drag.
Main risk
ECB rate hike Sep 11 + oil at $92
25-bps hike to 2.5% near-certain Thu Sep 11; Brent $92 (+1.1%) reignites CPI fears, pressuring Vonovia, Munich Re, and rate-sensitive industrials.
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