DAX 40

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 20, 2026, 8:34 PM

Key insight

26,200 ATH cap versus 25,800 50-day MA floor defines the range. Break of either resolves direction; until then, dip-buyers and sellers are in equilibrium at 25,960.

25,959 holds above the 25,800 50-day MA but stalls below 26,200 all-time high — sideways chop as EUR/USD at 1.1677 and soft German data cap upside.

Main risk

EUR strength / export margin squeeze

EUR/USD at 1.1677 compresses DAX exporters' revenues — every 1% EUR gain cuts ~2% EPS for autos and industrials.

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