Bitcoin

Bullish

Archived analysis from Sep 26, 2026, 7:02 PM

Key insight

$84,000 round number defended after 36% five-week surge; next inflection is $88,700 Aug swing high — clear above it opens $95,000 psychological level and ATH retrace corridor.

+36% rally since Aug 18 low ~$61,800 decouples BTC from stocks and gold; 200-day MA at ~$79,500 now firm support, $84,000 round number holds.

Main risk

Fed Rate Hike — Sep FOMC Decision

66% market probability of 25bp hike this month; higher rates compress non-yielding BTC, threatening a reversal back below 200-day MA at $79,500.

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