Bitcoin

Key insight

$81,353 sits mid-range between $76,500 structural support and $85,000 key resistance — break of either resolves the compression; equities green but BTC correlation weak, ETH +1.2% outperforming.

Holds $81,353 but stalls below $85,000 resistance — no breakout catalyst with equities up modestly and gold flat; range compression near 200-day MA signals indecision.

Main risk

Regulatory Crackdown / ETF Outflows

Sudden ETF net outflow spike or adverse SEC ruling could flush BTC below $78,000 200-day MA, invalidating the current support structure.