Bitcoin

Key insight

81,000 acts as pivot: three sessions of consolidation just above 200-day MA with volume fading. Break above 85,000 or loss of 79,500 decides next 10%+ move.

81,037 holds above the 200-day MA (~79,500) but fails to reclaim 85,000 resistance — flat 24h print signals indecision with equities at ATHs offering no directional read.

Main risk

200-day MA Loss at 79,500

Close below 79,500 flips 200-day MA from support to resistance, opens path to 73,000 — structurally bearish signal for trend followers.