Bitcoin

Key insight

$80,000 round-number resistance is the gate — close above it on volume flips short-term structure bullish and opens $85,500 (prior swing high). Failure to hold $77,000 50-day MA re-opens $72,000.

Bounces +2.4% to $79,148 — reclaims 50-day MA zone after multi-week consolidation; ETH +2.1% confirms broad crypto bid while equities flatten and gold fades.

Main risk

USD Rebound / Risk-Off Rotation

EUR/USD -0.4% and USD/JPY +0.6% signal a firming dollar; sustained DXY strength has historically pressured BTC hard, with $77,000 50-day MA the first casualty.