Bitcoin
BearishArchived analysis from Sep 14, 2026, 2:04 PM
Key insight
$77,500 range floor is the line in the sand — three days of BTC ETF outflows post-CPI warn a daily close below flips bias to $74K–$75K. CLARITY Act Sep 15 vote is the nearest binary catalyst for a recovery leg.
Rejected at $80K on Sep 11 CPI spike; Fed rate-hike probability now 87% after 162K jobs print crushes $77.5K range floor.
Main risk
Fed rate hike — Sep 17 FOMC decision
87% market probability of a 25 bps hike; confirmed hike removes rate-cut premium from BTC and tests $75K support.
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