Bitcoin

Key insight

$77,105 sits between 200-week MA near $75,000 and key $80,000 psychological resistance — neither bull nor bear has conviction; a weekly close above $80,000 or below $75,000 resolves the range.

Holds $77,105 but stalls below $80,000 round-number resistance — consolidation after cycle highs, with ETH underperforming at $2,511 flagging cautious crypto-wide risk appetite.

Main risk

Macro risk-off from Oil at $97

Oil at $97 lifts inflation expectations, pressuring risk assets. BTC breaks down hard below $75,000 if real yields spike on renewed rate-hike fears.