Bitcoin

Key insight

80,905 sits at the exact August short-squeeze high — confirmed as resistance. Lose $77,057 and next support is $62,207; hold it and $85K–$88K opens up.

80,905 holds the $80K line but MACD histogram at -195 flags cooling momentum; Fed rate-hike odds at 66% cap upside while Saylor's $370M buy provides floor.

Main risk

Fed September Rate Hike — 66% Probability

CME FedWatch flipped from 60% hold to 66% hike in one week; a confirmed hike crushes non-yielding BTC and validates sub-$77K breakdown.