Bitcoin

Key insight

$81,500 recaptured above the 200-day MA at $79,200 — next resistance is the $84,000 Aug swing high. Hold above $79,200 on any pullback to confirm bull structure; failure flips setup bearish.

+5.3% surge reclaims $81,500 — BTC clears the 200-day MA near $79,200 on strong volume, with gold +1.9% and silver +2.5% confirming broad risk-on and dollar weakness (EUR/USD +0.3%).

Main risk

Rejection at $84,000 Aug swing high

Stall at $84,000 with a daily close back below $79,200 (200-day MA) would signal a false breakout and open a retest of $74,500.