Bitcoin

Key insight

$80,000 round-number resistance is the line in the sand: reclaim it on volume and the 50-day MA at ~$82,000 opens; fail it and $72,000 prior swing low becomes the next test.

Holds $78,288 but stalls well below the 2025 all-time high near $109,000 — no sustained bid above the 50-day MA (~$82,000) keeps direction ambiguous.

Main risk

Macro risk-off / USD strength

USD/JPY at 160.1 and elevated real yields pressure risk assets; BTC shed 30%+ in prior dollar squeezes, 72,000 first in scope.