Bitcoin
NeutralArchived analysis from Aug 29, 2026, 7:04 AM
Key insight
$80,000 rejected after three-day 22% surge; $1.92bn ETF inflows and $4bn short liquidations drove the move but momentum stalls without fresh catalysts above $81,257 swing high.
Retreated to $77,429 after tagging $81,257 intraday high — $80k resistance held; needs sustained ETF inflows to resume rally from $62,800 base.
Main risk
Fed rate-hike risk resurging
CME FedWatch: 40%+ chance of Sep rate move vs. 33% a week ago; 72% chance of 2026 hike crushes risk-asset sentiment.
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