Bitcoin

Key insight

Consolidating inside a 76,000–80,000 range for third consecutive week; a daily close outside either bound sets the next 8–12% leg. ETH outperforming (+1.4%) hints at risk appetite, but gold -1.4% signals macro unease.

78,448 sits between 200-day MA ~76,000 and key resistance at 80,000 round number — no directional conviction until one of those breaks decisively.

Main risk

USD/JPY at 159.4 — BoJ intervention risk

Sudden JPY squeeze at 159-160 zone forces crypto liquidations; BTC dropped 8% in 3 days during July 2024 BoJ shock.