Bitcoin

Key insight

$80,000 is the line — reclaim it on volume and the 2026 range compresses bullishly toward $85,500; fail here and $75,000 200-day MA becomes the magnet. Risk/reward hinges on this single level.

Holds $79,041 with +1% gain, but stalls below the key $80,000 round-number resistance. No breakout confirmation yet; ETH co-moving +1% signals broad crypto lift, not BTC-specific strength.

Main risk

US Equity Soft Tone / Risk-Off Spill

S&P 500 -0.1%, Nasdaq -0.2% today — sustained equity weakness historically drags BTC through $75,000 200-day MA within days.