Bitcoin
NeutralArchived analysis from Aug 24, 2026, 3:38 AM
Key insight
$77,237 sits in no-man's land: 200-day MA ($74,500) caps downside; $80,000 caps upside. Break of either level sets the next 8–12% directional move.
Consolidates at $77,237 — holding above the 200-day MA near $74,500 but stalling below the $80,000 round-number resistance for a third consecutive week.
Main risk
USD/JPY carry-trade reversal
USD/JPY at 158.9 — any sharp yen rally forces risk-asset deleveraging; BTC dropped 18% in the Aug 2024 carry-unwind episode.
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