Bitcoin

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 9, 2026, 7:03 PM

Key insight

$65,300 Aug high caps rally; break above opens $68,000 measured-move target vs. hard floor at $62,000 50-day MA

Holds $65,155 after jobs-driven spike to $65,300 — Fed pause odds at 56% cap upside near ATH –48%

Main risk

Fed September Rate Decision

56% pause odds priced — any hawkish pivot crushes risk assets; Sep 16 FOMC is the binary gate

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