Analysis archive

S&P 500

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Aug 28, 2026, 8:46 PM
7,711 closing print vs 7,708 IG feed — gap is negligible. Warsh's "discipline, not a decision" stance leaves rate path open; 10-yr at 4.70% is the real ceiling on multiple expansion near all-time highs.
Neutral
Aug 28, 2026, 1:19 PM
7,738 consolidates at all-time highs — momentum slows but no distribution; a clean hold above 7,600 (50-day MA) keeps the bull structure valid and targets 8,000+.
Bullish
Aug 28, 2026, 3:30 AM
7,735 consolidates just below round-number resistance at 7,800 — a weekly close above flips target to 8,000+; failure holds the June breakout at 7,450 as next key test.
Bullish
Aug 27, 2026, 8:46 PM
7,723 holds but momentum stalls under 7,800 round resistance — a daily close above that level is needed to confirm trend continuation; failure keeps 7,600 200-day MA in play as the next magnet.
Neutral
Aug 27, 2026, 1:20 PM
7,700 holds as intraday support; Nasdaq's outperformance confirms growth-over-defensives rotation. Break above Aug swing high near 7,750 opens path to 8,000. Failure below 7,580 50-day MA flips short-term bias.
Bullish
Aug 27, 2026, 3:29 AM
7,715 trades at all-time-high territory — a clean hold above 7,700 round number opens 7,900 next; failure to push through by end of week risks a fade back to 7,550 gap support.
Bullish
Aug 26, 2026, 8:19 PM
7,800 all-time high caps upside; NVDA after-hours print is the binary gate — beat clears it, miss sends index back to 7,600 support cluster.
Neutral
Aug 26, 2026, 1:35 PM
7,666 is a consolidation pivot: break above 7,700 round number opens 7,850 measured extension; close below 7,580 50-day MA triggers distribution signal. Nasdaq underperformance vs. Dow flags sector rotation risk.
Neutral
Aug 26, 2026, 3:28 AM
7,673 sits in no-man's land: 50-day MA at 7,580 is the bull/bear line; a daily close below it opens 7,400. Oil -2.6% today drags energy, but broad index damage is minimal — sector rotation, not distribution.
Neutral
Aug 25, 2026, 8:17 PM
7,676 stalls at extended valuations — Gold's $4,667 surge and Oil's -2.2% drop flag macro stress; index needs a fresh catalyst to break above 7,800 or risks sliding to 7,500 50-day MA.
Neutral
Aug 25, 2026, 1:18 PM
7,480 former ATH flipped to support; next structural target is 7,800 round number. Oil -3.7% compresses inflation expectations, giving the Fed room to stay on hold or cut — net bullish for multiples.
Bullish
Aug 25, 2026, 3:28 AM
7,800 ATH (Aug 13) now key resistance; index down ~1.8% from peak on tech rotation and yield pressure. Nvidia Aug 26 earnings are the single binary catalyst that reopens or invalidates the ATH retest.
Neutral
Aug 24, 2026, 8:21 PM
7,654 holds the Aug 20 closing low of 7,641 — a close below that invites a test of 7,500. Nvidia earnings on Aug 26 are the binary catalyst for the next directional leg.
Neutral
Aug 24, 2026, 1:19 PM
7,662 consolidates below the Aug all-time high near 7,720; a close above that level opens 7,850 (Fib 127.2% extension). Gold surge and oil drop (-1.8%) flag risk-off undercurrent — bulls need a volume catalyst this week.
Bullish
Aug 24, 2026, 3:27 AM
7,673 flatlines at record territory; Gold at $4,640 and oil -1.6% flag defensive rotation — bulls need a catalyst above 7,700 to confirm the next leg higher.
Bullish
Aug 21, 2026, 8:18 PM
7,674 grinds flat on low conviction — bulls need a clean close above 7,700 round-number resistance to open 7,850. Gold +2.2% and BTC +6.3% suggest risk rotation, not capitulation.
Bullish
Aug 21, 2026, 1:17 PM
7,674 trades near the upper end of the 2026 channel; Gold at $4,584 and BTC +6.2% signal risk-on rotation — next resistance is the round 7,800 level.
Bullish
Aug 21, 2026, 3:28 AM
7,650 acts as immediate pivot — sustained trade above triggers measured extension toward 7,900. Flat price action on low volatility after a prolonged advance favours dip-buyers over sellers.
Bullish
Aug 20, 2026, 8:31 PM
7,642 consolidates after a multi-month advance; break above 7,700 round-number resistance opens 8,000 target, while failure below 7,500 50-day MA flips near-term bias negative.
Bullish
Aug 20, 2026, 1:18 PM
7,700 round-number cap is unbroken — bulls need a daily close above it to open 7,800. Gold's 1.1% drop and BTC's 4.3% surge signal crypto-led risk rotation, not equity flight.
Neutral
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