S&P 500
BullishArchived analysis from Sep 4, 2026, 8:22 PM
Key insight
7,713 holds as consolidation, not reversal — prior breakout at 7,500 now firm support. Bull thesis intact above 7,600 (50-day MA); a weekly close above 7,750 opens the path to 8,000.
Holds 7,713 near all-time highs with breadth intact; 200-day MA at ~6,800 sits far below, confirming the dominant uptrend. Flat tape on low volume signals consolidation, not distribution.
Main risk
US 10-Year Treasury Yield Spike
Yield surge above 4.80% would compress equity multiples; S&P forward P/E near 22x leaves little cushion if bonds sell off hard.
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