S&P 500
BullishArchived analysis from Aug 21, 2026, 3:28 AM
Key insight
7,650 acts as immediate pivot — sustained trade above triggers measured extension toward 7,900. Flat price action on low volatility after a prolonged advance favours dip-buyers over sellers.
Holds 7,649 near all-time highs with Nasdaq +0.2% leading; gold at $4,533 and BTC +2.4% confirm risk-on tone as dollar softens (EUR/USD 1.1697).
Main risk
USD/JPY carry unwind at 159
159 JPY holds but any BoJ surprise tightening collapses carry trades, historically dumping S&P futures 2–4% within hours.
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