S&P 500

Bullish

Archived analysis from Aug 14, 2026, 1:17 PM

Key insight

7,800 cleared and held — first close above that level ever; next structural target is 8,000 round number.

Broke 7,800 ATH Thursday; tame CPI/PPI cuts Sep Fed rate-hike odds below 40%.

Main risk

30-yr Treasury yield at 25-yr high

US sold 30-yr bonds at highest rate in 25 years; rising term premium compresses equity multiples.

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