S&P 500

Bullish

Archived analysis from Aug 13, 2026, 8:18 PM

Key insight

7,799 — fresh ATH print; hold above 7,750 Aug breakout base to stay long into Sep FOMC

7,800 breached for first time ever; in-line July CPI cuts Sep hike odds to 35%

Main risk

US-Iran conflict / Strait of Hormuz

Hormuz still partially blocked; deal stalls, oil spikes above $90, erasing risk appetite

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