S&P 500

Bullish

Archived analysis from Aug 13, 2026, 1:19 PM

Key insight

7,769 probes all-time highs — in-line July CPI at 3.4% and weak jobs data cut Sep hike odds below 50%

7,769 holds above Aug record close at 7,757 — CPI in-line, Fed rate-hike fears recede

Main risk

Iran-Strait of Hormuz geopolitical flare

No US-Iran deal; Hormuz closure risk keeps oil volatile, threatening consumer sentiment

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