S&P 500

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 13, 2026, 12:06 PM

Key insight

7,760 consolidates just above Aug 7 record close of 7,757; needs fresh catalyst to clear 7,800 round number

7,760 holds ATH breakout zone; tame CPI offsets Fed rate-hike risk, range-bound near record

Main risk

Fed Rate Hike Risk — Sep FOMC

52% Sep hike probability vs. 67% week ago; CPI 3.4% still above Fed 2% target

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