S&P 500

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 12, 2026, 3:28 AM

Key insight

Hold at 7,700 ATH breakout floor; July CPI print at 08:30 ET today determines next 200-pt leg

7,733 consolidates below ATH 7,758 — July CPI due Aug 12 is the binary gating event

Main risk

July CPI surprise (Aug 12, 08:30 ET)

Hot print revives Sept Fed hike odds above 67% — erases weak-payrolls dovish relief trade

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