S&P 500

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 11, 2026, 8:17 PM

Key insight

Pullback from all-time high at 7,757 tests 7,710 support — CPI print and Hormuz progress are the binary catalysts this week

Record close at 7,757 fades to 7,729 — Iran deal doubts and CPI/AI earnings risk stall momentum

Main risk

Strait of Hormuz / Iran-Oman deal collapse

Failed deal reignites oil spike toward $85+, reviving Fed rate hike fears above 52% Sept odds

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