S&P 500

Bullish

Archived analysis from Aug 10, 2026, 3:29 AM

Key insight

7,759 holds above record close — next test is 7,800 round number; exhaustion risk after $3.7tn four-day rally.

Record close 7,757 on Aug 7 after weak jobs data delays Fed hike beyond December.

Main risk

Fed hike re-pricing / Warsh hawkishness

December hike still priced; Warsh era begins with rates at 3.5–3.75% and CPI still sticky.

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