Gold
BullishArchived analysis from Sep 4, 2026, 1:27 PM
Key insight
4,390 tests key near-term support; hold above 4,350 (Aug swing low) keeps the bull structure intact. Break lower opens 4,200 Fib 38.2% retracement of the 2026 rally.
Pullback to 4,390 after record run — structural bull trend intact above 200-day MA near 3,850; USD strength and risk-off in equities trigger today's -1.85% flush.
Main risk
USD rebound / real yield spike
DXY strengthening with USD/JPY at 156.1 — sustained real yield rise above 2.5% historically pressures gold 5–8% from highs.
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