Gold

Bullish

Archived analysis from Aug 18, 2026, 3:32 AM

Key insight

$4,400 round-number resistance tested and slightly rejected — bulls need a daily close above to open $4,500 target; dip to $4,320 50-day MA is buy zone.

Holds $4,396 after record run past $4,400; structural bid from central bank buying and USD hedging demand intact despite mild 0.47% pullback.

Main risk

USD/JPY at 159.5 — yen carry unwind

Snap yen strengthening could force liquidation of gold carry-funded longs; watch 155.0 on USD/JPY as trigger level.

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