Gold
BullishArchived analysis from Aug 17, 2026, 8:23 PM
Key insight
4,418 trades above the 2025 all-time high zone near 3,500 — an entirely new price regime. Next structural resistance is the round 4,500 level; a weekly close above it opens the path to 4,600.
4,417 holds above the 2026 breakout base near 4,300; silver's +1.7% outperformance confirms broad metals bid. USD/JPY at 159.5 keeps dollar pressure contained, supporting safe-haven and commodity demand.
Main risk
USD/JPY reversal above 160
Break above 160 USD/JPY would signal renewed dollar strength, pressuring gold below 4,300 and invalidating the current breakout structure.
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