Gold

Bullish

Archived analysis from Aug 14, 2026, 3:37 AM

Key insight

$4,323 holds above 10-day MA; July CPI miss extends dollar softness — retest of $4,400 resistance likely.

Pullback from $4,449 ten-week high; soft July CPI (3.4%) keeps Fed on hold, underpinning gold.

Main risk

Fed September rate decision

53.9% chance rates hold at 3.50–3.75%; surprise hike crushes gold from $4,323.

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