FTSE 100

Neutral

Archived analysis from Sep 4, 2026, 1:24 PM

Key insight

10,797 sits between 10,756 Wed low and 10,831 Thu high — NFP print today decides breakout or breakdown; gilt yields near 18-yr highs cap upside.

Fading from Thursday's 10,831 close — gilt yield relief rally runs out of steam as NFP print looms and US-Iran tensions keep oil near $89.

Main risk

US Nonfarm Payrolls — Aug 2026

Hot print re-prices Fed cuts, spikes gilts; cold print lifts rate-cut hopes but flags UK demand — both paths carry FTSE vol today.

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