Analysis archive

Dow Jones

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Oct 5, 2026, 3:29 AM
51,180 consolidates below the 51,500 swing-high ceiling; a confirmed close above that level opens 52,000+, while a break of 50,400 (50-day MA) flips the near-term structure bearish.
Neutral
Oct 2, 2026, 8:23 PM
51,000 round number and 50-day MA at ~50,400 form a dual support floor; breach of 51,000 on a closing basis flips near-term bias negative and opens 50,400 fast.
Bullish
Oct 2, 2026, 1:19 PM
51,404 trades above key 50-day MA (~50,800); next resistance at 52,000 round number. Breakout above confirms momentum; failure to hold 50,800 flips bias bearish near-term.
Bullish
Oct 2, 2026, 3:30 AM
51,014 holds above the 51,000 psychological pivot; a clean weekly close here keeps the bull case alive toward 52,500 measured from the Q2 base, but failure flips 50,200 as first defence.
Bullish
Oct 1, 2026, 8:19 PM
5.33% 10-yr yield erodes Dow's rate-sensitive components; Dow -4.3% in Sep vs S&P flat — divergence deepens unless Friday NFP seals a Fed hold and yields retreat below 5.0%.
Bearish
Oct 1, 2026, 1:49 PM
51,055 straddles the prior all-time high zone near 51,000 — a weekly close above confirms breakout; failure sends a retest of 50,200 support. Oil at $90 lifts energy heavyweights Chevron and ExxonMobil, adding index-specific tailwind absent from cap-weighted peers.
Bullish
Oct 1, 2026, 3:31 AM
51,000 round-number support confirmed intraday — break above 51,500 prior swing resistance opens a run toward 52,400 Fibonacci extension. Dow underperformance vs Nasdaq signals defensive positioning, not distribution.
Bullish
Sep 30, 2026, 8:24 PM
51,000 round-number resistance is the immediate test; a daily close above it opens 51,800 extension target. Breadth remains positive with S&P 500 and Nasdaq aligned higher on same session.
Bullish
Sep 30, 2026, 1:50 PM
51,500 round number holds as intraday resistance — softer PCE lifts futures but Dow is -3.5% in September, lagging S&P; needs close above 51,800 to reverse monthly trend.
Neutral
Sep 30, 2026, 4:00 AM
51,537 trades above all major MAs — next inflection is 52,000 round number resistance. Failure to clear it within sessions risks a pullback to 50,800 50-day MA support.
Bullish
Sep 29, 2026, 8:38 PM
51,350 close confirms two-day rejection of 51,780 intraday high — bond rout, Boeing implosion, and Iran-Strait risk combine to cap any recovery until 10yr yield retreats below 5%.
Bearish
Sep 29, 2026, 1:50 PM
51,529 consolidates just below the 52,000 round-number resistance; a close above it opens 53,200. Gold surging to $4,156 while Oil drops 2.2% to $89.7 supports Dow's defensive-heavy weighting over growth-led Nasdaq.
Bullish
Sep 29, 2026, 3:32 AM
51,350 Sept low is the line in the sand — a close below flips the near-term trend; PCE Wed + NFP Fri will determine whether the 5% yield regime is here to stay.
Bearish
Sep 28, 2026, 8:20 PM
51,500 round-number cap stalls momentum — bull case needs a clean close above 52,000 to confirm extension; below 50,800 (50-day MA) flips short-term bias negative.
Neutral
Sep 28, 2026, 1:19 PM
51,200 (50-day MA) is the pivot — break below confirms rotation out of blue-chips; hold above keeps the all-time-high retest at 52,500 alive into Q4 earnings season.
Neutral
Sep 28, 2026, 4:00 AM
51,653 wedged between 50-day MA support (~51,200) and all-time-high resistance at ~52,000; Gold -2% and BTC -1.2% signal broad risk-off that could weigh if 51,200 cracks.
Neutral
Sep 25, 2026, 8:20 PM
51,825 stalls below the 52,000 round-number resistance; a sustained break above clears the path to all-time highs near 53,000, but oil at $92.3 squeezes margins for Dow's industrial and consumer names.
Neutral
Sep 25, 2026, 1:20 PM
51,547 trades just beneath the 52,000 round-number resistance; a weekly close above that level opens a measured run toward the 2026 ATH zone at 53,200.
Bullish
Sep 25, 2026, 3:31 AM
51,350 is live battle-line: three consecutive closes below signal trend breakdown; NY Fed's Williams flagging another rate hike is the single biggest headwind keeping bulls pinned.
Bearish
Sep 24, 2026, 8:29 PM
51,350 prior-session low now acts as immediate resistance — hold above 51,000 round number is the only near-term bull case; failure opens 50,200 200-day MA.
Bearish
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