Dow Jones
BearishArchived analysis from Sep 7, 2026, 1:21 PM
Key insight
Hold below 53,414 (Sep 4 close) keeps bears in control; CPI print this week is the binary hinge for the Fed's Sep decision — a hot number risks a flush to 52,400 50-day MA.
53,414 resistance broken lower — hot Aug payrolls (162k vs 53k est) lifted Fed rate-hike odds above 50%, 2-yr yield at Jan 2025 highs. Dow slides on Labour Day thin-volume open.
Main risk
FOMC Sep Rate Hike Re-pricing
Swap markets >50% priced for Sep hike; 2-yr yield at Jan 2025 highs. Confirmation via CPI could accelerate Dow selloff toward 52,400.
With Pro
Levels, scenarios & outlook are only available in the app — for all analyses, including archived ones.
Get the app→