Dow Jones

Bearish

Archived analysis from Sep 7, 2026, 1:21 PM

Key insight

Hold below 53,414 (Sep 4 close) keeps bears in control; CPI print this week is the binary hinge for the Fed's Sep decision — a hot number risks a flush to 52,400 50-day MA.

53,414 resistance broken lower — hot Aug payrolls (162k vs 53k est) lifted Fed rate-hike odds above 50%, 2-yr yield at Jan 2025 highs. Dow slides on Labour Day thin-volume open.

Main risk

FOMC Sep Rate Hike Re-pricing

Swap markets >50% priced for Sep hike; 2-yr yield at Jan 2025 highs. Confirmation via CPI could accelerate Dow selloff toward 52,400.

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